Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus

讲座名称: Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus
讲座时间: 2016-10-14
讲座人: Ruan Shigui
形式:
校区: 兴庆校区
实践学分:
讲座内容: 应数学与统计学院邀请,美国Miami大学Ruan Shigui教授2016年10月14日访问我校进行科研合作交流活动,在此期间将做以下学术报告。 报告题目:Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus 报告时间:2016年10月14日(星期五)上午10:00            报告地点:理科楼408 Abstract: The ongoing Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic poses a major global public health emergency as it has been reported in more than 60 countries worldwide, including China and USA. It is well-known that ZIKV is spread by Aedes mosquitoes, recent studies show that ZIKV can also be transmitted via sexual contact and cases of sexually transmitted ZIKV of the current outbreak have been confirmed in several countries. In this talk we first present a mathematical model to investigate the impact of mosquito-borne transmission and sexual transmission on prevention and control of ZIKV and use the model to fit the ZIKV data up to February 2016 in Brazil, Colombia, and El Salvador. Our result indicates that sexual transmission increases the risk of infection and epidemic size and prolongs the outbreak. Then we will introduce a second model to describe how Zika virus can be imported, established and spread in new territories by international travel. In order to prevent and control the transmission of ZIKV, it must be treated as not only a mosquito-borne disease but also a sexually transmitted disease.  
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